At the moment, Ming Chi-Kuo is one of the most respected analysts make predictions about Apple. Many of his predictions are really true. Just recently, Ming Chi-Kuo said that the protracted “dark band”, which hit Apple soon must end.
First and foremost we are talking about the reduction in the supply of Apple’s smartphones. According to experts, in the first quarter of 2019, the situation radically will not change. The demand for smartphones will remain low. For this reason, Ming Chi-Kuo has revised its forecast regarding the volume of deliveries iPhone 38-42 million units to 36 to 38 million.
However, since the second quarter of the current year, the situation should start to level off. Forecast Ming Chi-Kuo – 34-37 million units. The analysts of Wall Street believe that demand for the iPhone may not be as high. According to their forecasts in the second quarter of 2019 Apple put on the market of about 30-35 million of its smartphones.
Ming Chi-Kuo said that if in the first quarter of this year, the demand for the iPhone will be reduced by approximately 29% compared to the same period of the previous year, in the second quarter, the figure will amount to 14%. In the second half the situation has completely stabilized, and the volume of supply compared with the indicators of the end of 2018.
The only thing that can prevent the positive forecast is the deterioration of relations between the US and China, are now leading a protracted trade war.