Again: Telegram promises to help if someone comes with a ready-made judicial decision on a specific person. While such cases were not – this fact is underlined separately.
After Russian media picked up the news and published a bunch of notes with similar titles (“Telegram be sent to security services user data”), from the shadows came out Pavel Durov, who said that Russia this story does not apply – the Russian secret services do not get any bytes because of Telegram in our country outside the law.
And then there are two further script.
The ideal scenario: the FSB, the court and Roskomnadzor finally stir
Pavel Durov has actually made Russia a third world country. Now it turns out that a state that is so flush against terrorism, itself cut themselves off from the offer of assistance in the fight against terrorists.
Realistic scenario: mutual silence
The FSB still need the keys to decrypt messages. The FSB understands that the grant is impossible, because the messenger used not only in Russia.
More FSB sit hard-nosed men in suits who really don’t like to lose. And those wonderful people from the FSB wanted to spit on users and the reputation of the country: they sit in the best case, “you”, so the Telegram lock they did not move.
In short, everything will remain as before – a couple of quotes from Roskomnadzor (Zharov already respectul Durova), a couple of days of discussions in social networks, and then it bent. Users of Telegram will continue to sit through proxies (sometimes it is not needed), the audience of the messenger will slowly increase (thanks to the adequate App Store and Google Play), and the government will continue to pretend this situation is normal.
Why the film is ripe now?
I am quite sure in another: the item appeared for Russia, despite the fact that the actor denies it. Just Paul is an experienced consultant who knows how important it is to bide your time and shoot in the quietest moment.
Note: in the midst of the locks he just stood up together with users and reflect the impacts of Roskomnadzor. Then there was the action with airplanes, for her help with MTProto, and after – silence. And now the film correctly took the arguments and in fact offered a truce on his terms.
From the strategy point of view it’s just brilliant. From the point of view of the result view, but the chances of unlocking definitely increased.