I have a feeling that the presidential elections in the United States in 2020 will be similar to any other in my life (not just because of the fact that most likely they will leave Donald trump in the position — it is itself unprecedented circus), but also because of the huge problem of elections in 2016 can not be avoided in 2020. It sounds like this: how are we going to manage “the next America”?
“You know the words of William Gibson: “the Future is already here, it’s just not evenly distributed”? Well, the future is already here, and now it is really beginning to spread. This is the next America. But our institutions and political parties have not yet adapted, says in his interview with Gautam Mukund, researcher at Harvard Kennedy School and author of the book “non-negative: When leaders really important.” — The basic prerequisites for the functioning of the economy are shifting beneath our feet, and the government’s response.”
This next America will raise a whole new web of intertwined political, legal, moral, ethical issues and privacy concerns due to changes in technology, demography, environment and globalization, which reach a critical mass.
Where do I start? Well to start with 5G — the fifth generation of wireless systems. Thanks to the two Telecom giants, Verizon and AT&T are now beginning to implement 5G technology throughout the United States, exchange between business, entertainment, education and health care will dramatically increase in the next America, the beginning of what will have approximately… for 2020.
How to get more from artificial intelligence and machine learning — such as the introduction of self-driving cars — require fast transfer of large amounts of data and very low probability of delays. And we will have this ability in the next America. With 5G Hollywood movies loaded on your iPad currently takes six to seven minutes to load six or seven seconds, and the sensors on your shirt will collect information and transmit indicators to your doctor.
As noted by AT&T in one of their commercials 5G: “Think of it as following the border of casual that will give you the opportunity to get superfast services, which are in your home or office is virtually everywhere.” It may be the same revolution as the Internet.
But it will require new rules to manage these applications — from self-propelled cars and drone deliveries and robots that will work like security guards and home health aides. On Monday, the AP reported that, according to government estimates now “more than 110 thousand commercial drones operate in U.S. airspace, and their number by 2022 will increase to 450 thousand.”
All these new technologies will have important implications for the chain of “education-work”. My friend Heather E. McGowan, a strategist on the future of work, sees it this way: “the Old model consisted of three vital blocks: to get an education, use that education for 40 years and then retire. And we wrongly assumed that the next new model will look like this: to get an education, use it for 20 years, then retraining and then use it for 20 years and then retire”.
But in reality for the next America, says McGowan, the correct model will be in “constant training throughout life” — so when the rate of change increases, “the company’s fast growing and most flexible workers will be the ones who will learn faster than their competitors”.
This means that in addition to existing traditional safety nets, social security and health care, we need a new system.
We have to make a certain level of post-secondary education free for every American, which will be a barrier the minimum rating and number of mandatory visits to each adult and even high school graduate can get an associate’s degree or technical workers without training in a local College at any time.
Tennessee has already done it.
These technological changes mean that the next America will require changes to the Antimonopoly legislation. Since the 1980s, competition policy was decided whether the company is actually too big by a single question: loss of competition hurts customers through higher prices or fewer services?
“But such a definition is increasingly irrelevant in an age when the most powerful companies in the world offering goods or services “for free” in exchange for personal information, says columnist “financial times” on technology issues Foobar Wound in his essay for June 24. Is provoked calls for the return of that definition of monopoly, which was in the anti-monopoly Sherman act in 1890, which laid emphasis on the need for the economic power of big companies didn’t become the corruption of the political process.”
So we are more than just customers, “we are citizens”, says Mukunda, “Our interests extend far beyond pricing, that is the job of government is to protect the freedom of citizens and not just their interests. It is explicitly stated in the Constitution, and we forgot about it.”
Only one person — mark Zuckerberg controls Facebook, Instagram and Votsap. The fact that he showed himself more interested in how to build their platform, than to deal with those who abuse their political and economic objectives (while his staff was ready to pounce on their main high level of critics like George Soros), should make the question of the split or regulating Facebook the first and foremost thing in 2020. Only not well understood the political weight of these “hippos” as Facebook, Amazon, Guggl, Microsoft and Apple requires more careful supervision.
The next America — it’s more than about technology. In 2020, it literally will be born. Bureau of the U.S. census suggests that by the year 2020, for the first time “more than half of American children will be representatives of racial minorities or ethnic groups”. And this will start the process by which until 2044 “no one race or ethnic group would not dominate in the United States by size”, as noted by national public radio.
But, unfortunately, the financial tools necessary for the development of the next America, have become weaker because of the decision of the President of the trump tax cuts. It was assumed that the Federal deficit will reach $ 1 trillion by 2020, but now the White house says that this will happen in 2019. We had a deficit of this size in connection with the financial crisis of 2008, but we didn’t have such huge performance during the boom.
That means the next America, you may have to build in conditions of increased interest due to higher debt and lower tax reserves to stimulate the economy if it faltered or faced with a crisis. It is therefore very likely that the next America will have to raise taxes or to cut spending on defense, social security or health care — at a time when the generation of baby boomers will retire.
Therefore, the next America requires addressing each of these questions, and many others — from climate change to the rules of resource allocation and how they will interact. Consequently the next election should also be about it. Because of the madness around trump most of the issues this discussion is deferred. But 2020 will not allow us to do so again. The following America will not wait.
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